NFL Week 5 Analysis

Yea, Yea, Yea. Took a break from last week, after a couple of major blows (especially to my week/day picks) So had to take a break, but finally got it up and running, here's my analysis for the week.

Tennessee @ Indianapolis - Jedi Pick: Indianapolis -17.5
Tennessee: 7-20 ATS vs. conference opponents
Indianapolis: 13-3 Under off a road win by 3 points or less
JEDI THOUGHTS: Wow, that's a big favorite, and yes Tennessee is crap, Vince Young is CRAP. Indianapolis will put up some major numbers, after a tight game againts Jets. But be careful this point spread it really HIGH! and for Indianapolis to beat this spread is that if Tennessee will ONLY score one touchdown and a field goal at the most, after that, the spread is doomed. I don't think Colts will be able to put up 5 touchdowns. I don't see Tennessee even scoring a touchdown Prediction score 28-6

*Washington @ NY Giants - Jedi Pick: Giants -4.5
Washington: 25-9 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
NY Giants: 15-4 Under off a bye week
JEDI THOUGHTS: These skins are in constant struggle, REMEBER Giants came off bye week, and prior to that, they lost against Seattle. They're pretty much prepared for this game. Also remember, Redskins just barely won against the Jag's in overtime, so i'm pretty sure these Skins are winded. Giants can be tough at home!

-Detriot @ Minnesota - Jedi Pick: Minnesota - 6.5
Detroit: 16-5 ATS off 3+ ATS losses
Minnesota: 14-5 Under in home games
JEDI THOUGHTS: Minnesota needs a bounce back after that back to back loses under 6 points. This is the team to do it with, now they're back at home, after a tough loss at home against the Bears at Minnesota. Big bounce back for the Vikes.

+Tampa Bay @ New Orleans - Jedi Picks: Tampa Bay +6.5
Tampa Bay: 8-1 Under in road games
New Orleans: 17-34 ATS at home vs. division opponents
JEDI THOUGHTS: What is going on with Tampa Bay? 0-3? thank goodness they're getting alot of points here. New Orleans was dominating at home, but REMEMBER EVERYONE WAS WATCHING IT WAS HOME OPENER, AND IT WAS MONDAY NIGHT. Who's watching this game now? it's not nationally televised that's for sure. Tampa Bay did have a bye week, and had two weeks to prepare for this game. I'm taking Gruden and a few extra points, to help out. (well actually 2 field goals and half a point)

St. Louis @ Green Bay - Jedi Pick: St. Louis - 3.5
St. Louis: 22-10 Over after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Green Bay: 4-13 ATS in home games
JEDI THOUGHTS: Don't like much about this game, but i'm taking St. Louis, only Green Bay had their chance last week against Eagles, but for some reason let the game slip in the second half by throwing those interceptions, and easily gave away the game. It's only a small favorite.

Miami @ New England - Jedi Pick: Miami + 9.5
Miami: 2-11 ATS vs. division opponents
New England: 10-2 ATS after allowing 14 points or less
JEDI THOUGHTS: No doubt in my mind that Miami is HORRIBLE, and I don't think they can keep up with New England at home. But don't get me wrong, they will fight till the end on this one, they need to, and Culpepper will. Points should be good here.

Buffalo @ Chicago - Jedi Pick: Chicago - 10.5
Buffalo: 8-1 Under away first half of the season
Chicago: 8-1 Under at home off a home game
JEDI THOUGHTS: What Buffalo defeats Minnesota? Chicago comes off a great win against Seattle. Chicago can be VERY VERY VERY tough at home. This spread might be alittle to tough, but you'll never see a spread lower than 6 points at home with the bears.

Cleveland @ Carolina - Jedi Pick: Carolina - 8.5
Cleveland: 6-17 ATS off a win by 6 points or less
Carolina: 26-11 Under off a division win
JEDI THOUGHTS: Carolina is only at .500, they need to start winning fast, this is the best game to start a three game winning streak, and get back on the winning path, after they struggled the first two weeks, watch them pound the browns this week.

*NY Jets @ Jacksonville - Jacksonville - 7.5
NY Jets: 6-0 Under away off a loss by 6 points or less
Jacksonville: 8-2 ATS off BB road losses
JEDI THOUGHTS: Tough loss last week, he're the Jaguar prowl back! Jets for some reason kept up with the Colts, Which I find unbelieveable, well these Jags are a much better defensice team than those horses. Jacksonville will eat those Jets alive, and keep them under double digit scoring, while Jacksonville is hungry to score and win this game (after that disappointing lost)

Kansas City @ Arizona - Jedi Pick: Arizona + 3.5
Kansas City: 9-1 ATS as a favorite
Arizona: 2-10 ATS as an underdog
JEDI THOUGTHS: Does anyone remember the opening day in Arizona agains those Niners? Yeah they won, and yeah it was only the Niners (considering the niner got humiliated by the Chiefs 41-0) Did you know that the Chiefs came off a bye week prior to that Niner game? that means they had two weeks to prepare for the skunky 49ers? But this week, those chiefs don't have a home field advantage this week. Arizona will be all over them.

Oakland @ San Francisco - Jedi Picks: San Francisco - 3.5
Oakland: 2-11 ATS as an underdog
San Francisco: 8-1 ATS off a road game
JEDI THOUGHTS: Niners, Niners, Niners, they won't let these Raiders win. Niners got MAD HANDLED when they played the Chiefs. Take a look at the trend, not bad, I might as well take it.

Dallas @ Philadelphia - Jedi Pick: Dallas + 2.5
Dallas: 2-10 ATS off a win by 28+ points
Philadelphia: 7-1 Under after scoring 30+ points
JEDI THOUGHTS: I heard on a forum that this game is a LOCK OF A LIFETIME, and this person was picking Philly. But I really have to disagree with him, and take Dallas. Philly didn't play as I expected them to play on the last Monday night game, and I still don't expect them to all show up this game. They have to many key injuries, which will hurt them playing against a POWERFULL team. Take the points and CASH IT!

Pittsburgh @ San Diego - Jedi Pick: Pittsburgh + 3.5
Pittsburgh: 9-1 Under away off an Over
San Diego: 15-6 ATS off an Under
JEDI THOUGHTS: Pittsburgh just came off a tough lost in week 3 against Cincinatti, and they did play good that game, but just couldn't pull it off. They were at home, and it was pretty tough to lose at home. Now they get a bye week, but on the road against San Diego. Look for the Steelers to be fresh. Watch Pamoalu to play some great defense this week, he's been really quite week two and three.