Wednesday, February 28, 2007
Friday, October 27, 2006
NFL Week 8 Analysis
+Houston @ Tennessee - Jedi Pick: Tennessee -3
Houston: 0-7 ATS off a win as a home underdog
Tennessee: 13-3 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less
JEDI THOUGHTS: Wow, Tennessee is looking good finally....well not GOOD but enough to get by this struggling Texans team, yeah they came off a win, but they won't win two inna row that's for sure. 0-7 ATS off a win? wow. Liking Tennessee and it's only a fieldgoal
*Jacksonville @ Philadelphia - Jedi Pick: Philadelphia -7
Jacksonville: 15-6 ATS off an Under
Philadelphia: 22-7 Under at home in October
JEDI THOUGHTS: Yea, i'm riding these Eagles again. They screwed me big time last week. But I seriously don't see them winning this week. Leftwhich out? Good luck Jacksonville, I don't think they'll be catching these flying birds.
+Atlanta @ Cincinnatti - Jedi Pick: Cincinnatti -4.5
Atlanta: 2-10 ATS off a win as a home underdog
Cincinnati: 8-2 Under vs. non-conference opponents
JEDI THOUGHTS: To tell you the truth, I was all over Atlanta this game, but after hearing Chad, i'm loving Cincy. The only thing that bothers me is that when Chad said they were going to the SuperBowl they didn't go. Now he's saying he's gunna score two touchdowns? Well touchdowns is easier to get than to go to the SuperBowl. Plus i'm thinking he's due up for a big game only because he didn't do much last week against Carolina.
TampaBay @ NY Giants - Jedi Pick: NY Giants -9
Tampa Bay: 0-6 ATS off BB wins
NY Giants: 10-5 ATS as a home favorite
JEDI THOUGHTS: Let me first start off at 0-6 ATS off BB wins? I'm sold Tampa is STRUGGLING and NY Giants are at the top of their game. -9 seems alot but I don't see TampaBay even competin with gmen. Last week Buc's win was a tough loss for Philly, meaning Bucs shouldn't of won that game. Well they're not getting away with another one today.
SanFrancisco @ Chicago - Jedi Pick: SanFrancisco +15
San Francisco: 2-9 ATS off a home game
Chicago: 14-4 Under off an ATS loss
JEDI THOUGHTS: What? That's ridiculous how is it that 49ers are getting more than two TD? because they're 2-9 ATS? I don't think so, man when I saw Chicago play last week game, they just had all the turnovers catch up with them. This game Chicago will win, no doubt, but spread to me is way tooo high.
Arizona @ GreenBay - Jedi Pick: Arizona +3.5
Arizona: 10-2 Over in October
Green Bay: 4-14 ATS in home games
JEDI THOUGHTS: All of a sudden GreenBay is a good team? That makes me laugh. Don't get me wrong they can be tough at home. But I seroiusly don't see the cheese heads getting win here. Leinart should feel alittle more confortable here, and getting that extra half point seems perfect even if GreenBay some how wins this game, they won't win by more than a fieldgoal.
Seattle @ KansasCity - Jedi Pick: Seattle +6
Seattle: 9-2 Over in road games
Kansas City: 9-2 ATS as a favorite
JEDI THOUGHTS: I know KansasCity can be tough at home, but that shouldn't be a reason to lay 6 points to a Seattle team that desprately needs a win. Yeah you can say Hassellbeck, but if Seattle loses this game they're going to fall behind to St.Louis in the NFC West. So watch Seattle atleast fight for this game. 6 Points is way to much for me.
+Baltimore @ NewOrleans - Jedi Pick: New Orleans -2
Baltimore: 17-4 ATS off a loss as a favorite
New Orleans: 5-1 Under off BB wins
JEDI THOUGHTS: Don't like this game much but I gotta stick to the Saints, everything just seems to be going right for them. If they can come up with a win here, they'll be in good shape. Plus with McNair out, this will be a great oppertuninty for the Saints.
St.Louis @ SanDiego - Jedi Pick: St.Louis +9
St. Louis: 8-1 Over vs. non-conference opponents
San Diego: 8-1 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
JEDI THOUGHTS: Man what's with these ridiculous spreads? I'm taking them Rams, they'll need to some how come up with a win here, to keep up with Seattle. Which I doubt they'll win, but be sure, this will be a fight.
Pittsburgh @ Oakland - Jedi Pick: Oakland +9.5
Pittsburgh: 8-1 ATS off a non-conference game
Oakland: 1-10 ATS as a home underdog
JEDI THOUGHTS: Finally them Raiders come up with a win. Taking the home team this game, Big Ben out, and Oakland coming off a big win. With some points. Doesn't get any better than that. I don't trust Batch very much
NY Jets @ Cleveland - Jedi Pick: Cleveland -1.5
NY Jets: 5-1 ATS off BB Overs
Cleveland: 9-2 Under in home games
JEDI THOUGHTS: Cleveland desprately needs a win here, it might be tough but i'm liking the browns at home.
*Indianapolis @ Denver - Jedi Pick: OVER 39
Indianapolis: 17-6 Over away off a home win by 10+ points
Denver: 14-4 ATS off a win
JEDI THOUGHTS: Don't like this game very much either. But over on this game seems like the best bet for me. 17-6 over away off a home win, and 14-4 ATS. So if Denver wants to win this game they're gunna have to put up some point here.
Dallas @ Carolia - Jedi Pick: Dallas + 5.5
Dallas: 14-5 Over in road games
Carolina: 13-5 ATS with a line of +3 to -3
JEDI THOUGHTS: Carolina gets a tough loss last week, and so does Dallas, but i'm going to stick do Dallas this week. Hope Romo does his job this week. The points sold me on this game.
Monday, October 23, 2006
Laying It All Down On MNF Oct. 23
Hey guys, as you all know it I had another bad week, and it's just getting worst and worst. So i'm going to LAY IT ALL DOWN tonight. If I don't hit this one, i'm not going to post here unless I get some good picks. I will also add this to (OTHERS GOYS/TOYS) This is not only my favorite pick, but also from the forum by: HIZZ_HONOR. So i'm considering this the top play.
The New York Giants and Dallas Cowboys bring identical 3-2 records into their Monday night match at Texas Stadium. Both are in hot pursuit of the Philadelphia Eagles in the NFC East. The Giants own a win over the Eagles already this year while the Cowboys lost in Philadelphia two weeks ago 38-24. They then bounced back last week to score a 34-6 home win over Houston. No strangers to Monday night, the Cowboys have been on the Show 18 times since 1997, winning 11 times and going 9-9 ATS. They are 4-3 straight-up at home but just 2-5 ATS. They also have split the last four at home versus the Giants, going just 1-3 ATS. The Giants are riding a two-game win streak, having beaten Washington at home 19-3 and Atlanta on the road 27-14. They have been on MNF 11 times since 1998 and are a dismal 2-9 straight-up and against-the-number.
NY Giants: 35-16 Under off a win by 10+ points
Dallas: 2-11 ATS off a win by 28+ points
JEDI PICK OF THE DAY: Dallas -3.5 Looks like i'm a Dallas fan for tonight, It's to hard to play against my Giants, but I gotta stick to the better team. As much as I like Dallas tonight, I'm loving the over/under play, my TOY play is Under 45. This game will go way under thinking that it will be decided on the ground. If Bledsoe doesn't have time to through the ball to his receivers, Parcells will also look to go to the ground. Tiki Barber will try to turn up the heat tonight, but do consider that Cowboys are the toughest running defenses in the NFL. If Tiki doesn't go anywhere, watch the clock wind down. Expect Manning and Barber to see alot of stars tonight, because the Tiki torch won't be lit.
JEDIMINDTRICKS RECORD
ALL NFL GAMES: 28-23
WEEKLY PICK 6: 11-5, Swept my Fab Four picks
PICK OF THE DAY/WEEK: 6-6 Got Smoked With Philly AGAIN
OTHER GOYS/TOYS: 2-1
Monday, October 16, 2006
NFL Week 7 Analysis
+SanDiego @ Kansas City - Jedi Pick: Kansas City +5
San Diego: 7-0 Under away vs. division opponents
Kansas City: 18-7 ATS off a road loss by 14+ points
JEDI THOUGHTS: Taking Kansas City this week, spreads to much. Plus it's pretty damn tough at Arrow head. Ask the niners. Well this ain't a niner team, but SanDiego does struggle against divisional teams, and Chiefs can't afford to lost another one. Points look good here.
Jacksonville @ Houston - Jedi Pick:Jacksonville -9.5
Jacksonville: 12-3 Under off BB games scoring 25+ points
Houston: 1-5 ATS off a road loss by 21+ points
JEDI THOUGHTS: Jacksonville usually comes tough after a bye week. Spread doesn't look that bad. Hoping Houston will fall after the defeat in Dallas.
New England @ Buffalo - Jedi Pick: New England -5
New England: 11-2 ATS after allowing 14 points or less
Buffalo: 5-0 Under off a loss as a favorite
JEDI THOUGHTS: Buffalo should come out fighting this week, after the tough loss in Detroit. But be carefull here, New England came off a bye, and needs to keep winning, they have a tough schedule ahead of them (Minnesota and Indianapolis)
Pittsburgh @ Atlanta - Jedi Pick: Atlanta +3
Pittsburgh: 7-0 ATS away off a win by 14+ points
Atlanta: 5-15 ATS off a home game
JEDI THOUGHTS: Steelers are 0-2 away, they are undefeated away off a win by 14+points. But I don't buy that. Steelers are DONE! that's the biggest game they're going to have all year. Big Ben isn't good enough to play two great games in a row. Atlanta comes off a hard loss AT HOME, against the NY Giants. Watch a bounce back this week.
+GreenBay @ Miami - Jedi Pick: GreenBay+5
Green Bay: 22-10 Over off BB losses
Miami: 1-8 ATS as a home favorite
JEDI THOUGHTS: Miami 1-8 as a home favorite? hah, Miami is even more of a bad team. This is Favre's best chance of winning his second game. Packers has a big edge, lost prior game, coming off a bye. And Miami playing at their lowest level of their game. Two weeks for Favre to prepare for his team, +5 points? I'LL TAKE IT.
*Philadelphia @ TampaBay - Jedi Pick: Philadelphia -5
Philadelphia: 4-0 ATS off BB Overs
Tampa Bay: 9-2 Under at home off a win
JEDI THOUGHTS: 4-0 Against The Spread, how about we just add a few more things why I think the EAGLES are going to TORTURE and DOMINATE this game. Philly comes off a tough loss against the Saints (now everyone is thinking the Saints are for real, I still don't think so) And what is this, Tampa Bay Buc's beat Cincinnatti? HOW? This game sure won't happen here. Rookie QB won't be able to do that twice against two strong teams.
Detriot @ NY Jets - Jedi Pick: Detroit +3.5
Detroit: 4-13 ATS away off a win as an underdog
NY Jets: 8-0 Over off a division game
JEDI THOUGHTS: This game is personally not my choice, but i'll give you my thoughts anyway. Jets are at home, but i'd like to see Detriot win two in a row after dropping 5 straight. That would be a something positive to look forward to. And I don't see why the Lions will not be able to do it. Think this game will be tough. But GO LIONS!
Carolina @ Cincinnatti - Jedi Pick: Cincinatti -3
Carolina: 12-3 ATS as an underdog
Cincinnati: 2-8 ATS in October
JEDI THOUGHTS: Here we go, this is one of my favorite picks this week. Still can't believe they lost against the Buc's, well Buc's gotta win sometime. Hey guess what Cincinnatti is at home now, coming off a sevre loss. Palmer will be ready to put up some major touchdowns this Sunday. He only puts up one touchdown against the Buc's? that's the the Carson Palmer I know. Carolina WON'T win two in a row on the road against teams over .500. Panther's are good (but not that good)
Denver @ Cleveland - Jedi Pick: Cleveland +4.5
Denver: 6-0 ATS off a divison win
Cleveland: 9-2 Under at home off a road game
JEDI THOUGHTS: Don't like this game much either, but look for Cleveland to be fresh off the prior loss and bye week. Denver didn't look strong that much against the Raiders, It's just that the Raiders made them look good. The overall score of that Raiders and Denver game was only 13-3. Don't you think that if the Raiders played really bad against a tough Denver D, that the score shouldn't of been that close. Ten points with the Raiders isn't that bad. Points here just might be enough.
Washington @ Indianapolis - Jedi Pick: Indianapolis -9
Washington: 14-4 Under off an ATS loss
Indianapolis: 1-4 ATS vs. Washington
JEDI THOUGHTS: Washington losing against Tennessee? Oh yeah, you have to win a game sometime (unless you're the Raiders) Be carefull here, Indianapolis can be VERY, VERY and I mean VERY TOUGH at home. Especially after a Bye week, failing to cover the last two games (Jets 31-28; Tennessee 14-13) If Indianapolis wins this game, they're covering this spread with their eyes closed. I don't by this trend, I think that's a sucker bet if you're taking Washington.
Minnesota @ Seattle - Jedi Pick: Minnesota +6.5
Minnesota: 12-4 ATS vs. conference opponents
Seattle: 3-11 ATS off a division game
JEDI THOUGHTS: "Minnesota is back and we're gunna get in trouble" That's right Minnesota will be huge this game. Seattle will fall to the ground this Sunday, yes, yes even at home. Comeback win at ST. Louis just made them tired. Seattle's secondary will be running all around the field with their heads cut off, trying to find their recievers. The Vikings are hungry and ready to cut off these birds' heads.
*Arizona @ Oakland - OVER 40; Total Of the Year
Arizona: 9-1 Over in October
Oakland: 0-6 ATS as a home underdog
JEDI THOUGHTS: There should be a prop for how many games the Raiders will lose. But they gotta win sometime. NOT THIS TIME! Keep counting Raiders, even the home field advantage won't help a bit here. GL Oakland, because you guys are embarrassing.
Saturday, October 14, 2006
Saturday College Football Oct. 14
There may not be a more difficult weak psychologically for a team all season than Jim Grobes Deacons leading up to this game. The absolutely devastating defeat at the hands of Clemson is more than just a single loss to drop them to 5-1; it is a crushing blow for this level of team. Now they not only have to try to regroup with a short road trip, but it is a trip to face an emerging N. C. State squad that has had a couple of extra days to prepare and using those days to review bitter memories of last years 27-19 loss at Greensboro, when they had two interceptions returned for touchdowns.
Wake Forest: 6-0 ATS in October
NC State: 16-6 Under as a home favorite
JEDIMINDTRICKS PICK OF THE DAY: NC State -3 This doesn't get any better than this. Total domination by NC State. Another dent in my winning pick of the day/week column. Going big on this one.
Wednesday, October 11, 2006
Thurday Night College Oct. 12
#22 Virginia Tech visits ACC Rival Boston College. Virginia Tech is off a bye following a 38-27 home loss to Georgia Tech. The Hokies beat Boston College 30-10 at home last season after the Eagles won 34-27 in Blacksburg in 2003. In the Va. Tech-Boston College match the Hokies have been holding steady as a 2.5-point road chalk.
Virginia Tech: 6-0 ATS as a road favorite
Boston College: 30-16 Under off an ATS loss
JEDIMINDTRICKS PICK OF THE DAY: Virginia Tech -2.5, I'm laying it down tonight, I don't see how the heck BC is going to come up with a win tonight. VT is just set up perfect for this game. Bye, prior loss. And they play WELL on Thursday night games. -2.5 that's just a field goal. Cash it tonight GUYS!
Monday, October 09, 2006
Monday Night NFL Oct. 9
Unbeaten Baltimore swoops into Denver to face the 2-1 Broncos in a key Monday night match. Led by the resurgent Steve McNair the Ravens are 4-0 for the first time in franchise history. They started fast, Tampa Bay and Oakland squads by a combined 55-6 in the first two weeks. They won close ones the last two weeks. McNair hit tight end Todd Heap for a TD with 34 seconds remaining last week as the Ravens defeated San Diego 16-13. Two weeks ago, McNair directed a 12-play, 47-yard drive that resulted in Matt Stover's 52-yard field goal with 20 seconds left to beat Cleveland 15-14. Denver is in off its bye week with a 2-1 record. It has played three low-scoring games, scoring just 36 points while allowing 31.
Baltimore: 12-2 Under away vs. conference opponents
Denver: 14-4 ATS off a bye week
JEDIMINDTRICKS PICK OF THE DAY: Denver - 5.5. Here we go, I personally think this game can go either way. If you like Baltimore take them straight up, but if Denver wins this game, they're taking the spread away from Baltimore a smashing them with it. I got one more team left on my parlay(waiting for Denver obviously) I favored them at 3.5 and still favor them at 5.5. Denver's to tough under the lights at home. For all that has been keeping up with me, you should already know that I had a great week, but now I need the dust pan to clean up the mess that I just swept. So let's get out the dust pan and make it a total CLEAN SWEEP!

