NFL WEEK 3 Analysis

NY Jets @ Buffalo - Jedi Pick: Buffalo -5.5
NY Jets: 18-6 ATS off a home division loss
Buffalo: 6-17 ATS off a division win by 10+ points
JEDI THOUGHTS: I personally wouldn't touch this game, my thoughts about both teams have been off on both weeks, but i'd like to take Buffalo because right now they're playing good, and should look more comfortable at home.

*Cincinnatti @ Pittsburgh - Jedi Pick: OVER 41.5
Cincinnati: 9-1 ATS away off a straight up win
Pittsburgh: 8-0 Over as a home favorite
JEDI THOUGHTS: This is a tought one too, but I love how Cincinnatti is playing, and they are my pick for the Super Bowl, so I'm taking Cincinnatti, and plus it's only -2.5 again. But be careful Pittsburgh is bound to bounce back soon. Just play the OVER, it's more safe.

*Jacksonville @ Indianapolis - Jedi Pick: Indianapolis -6.5
Jacksonville: 12-4 Under in dome stadiums
Indianapolis: 14-5 ATS off BB ATS wins as favorites
JEDI THOUGHTS: Jacksonville didn't look that good, they were struggling to score against Pittsburgh, and Pitt wasn't even playing a good defensive game. Even if the Jags can play good defense this week, look for Peyton Manning to kill e'm in the air.

*Tennessee @ Miami - Jedi Pick: Tennessee +10.5
Tennessee: 12-2 Over off BB losses
Miami: 1-7 ATS as a home favorite
JEDI THOUGHTS: What is going on with Miami? first I thought that they were an OK team because they played an OK game against Pittsburgh, then I figured they can't even beat Buffalo, after I called them a FLUKE? I think Miami is the fluke here. Watch Miami as they continue to struggle EVEN AT HOME.

Washington @ Houston - Jedi Pick: Washington -3.5
Washington: 6-0 Under off BB ATS losses
Houston: 1-6 ATS in September
JEDI THOUGHTS: I still can't figure out what's going on with Washington either, but i'm pretty sure they'll find their first win here. But spread is a little skecthy. See Houston Shoulda took Reggie Bush.

*Chicago @ Minnesota - Jedi Pick: Chicago - 3.5
Chicago: 8-1 Under away off a home game
Minnesota: 18-6 ATS as a home underdog
JEDI THOUGHTS: Hah, Minnesota 2-0, Well better be ready for this tought, and I mean TOUGH defensive team, Minnesota won't stand a chance with these Bears. Minnesota wins both games by game winning field goal? Hah, they shouldn't of won against Carolina if it wasn't for that lateral mistake. I'd like to see Minnesota score more than 14points this game. Good Luck Minnesota in trying to come up with a win against these Bears.

Carolina @ Tampa Bay - Jedi Pick: Carolina - 3.5
Carolina: 6-0 ATS away vs. division opponents
Tampa Bay: 13-4 Under off a road game
JEDI THOUGHTS: Both teams still looking for their first win. Still both teams didn't impress me much, Tampa does have a little advantage at home, but i'm going to stick with my Panthers, even though they dissapointed me last week.

Green Bay @ Detroit - Jedi Pick: Green Bay +6.5
Green Bay: 0-6 ATS vs. division opponents
Detroit: 6-1 ATS off a loss by 14+ points
JEDI THOUGHTS: Not much to talk about here either, both teams still can't seem to find what will go right for their team. But i'm taking Favre on this won, he has to go home a winner some how, and i'm thinking this is the best chance for a first win.

*Baltimore @ Cleveland - Jedi Pick: Cleveland +6.5
Baltimore: 10-2 Under away vs. conference opponents
Cleveland: 13-5 Under in home games
JEDI THOUGHTS: Baltimore not so impressive especially when playing those Raiders, well don't get me wrong their defense is not that bad. But remember Cleveland is still also hungry for their first win and they did have a tought game against Cincinnatti last week. Look for Cleveland to beat them in the air. Ray Lewis and Baltimore will stop Cleveland's ground game. But also look for this game to be under, if Cleveland can't move the ball through the air.

St. Louis @ Arizona - Jedi Pick: Arizona -4.5
St. Louis: 2-8 ATS as a road underdog of 7 or less points
Arizona: 7-1 Over off BB ATS losses
JEDI THOUGHTS: Arizona is a good team, but last week they just couldn't do it against Seattle. But be cautious that new stadium looks rockin, and them Cards hopin to rockit more.

NY Giants @ Seattle - NY Giants +3.5
NY Giants: 18-7 ATS after gaining 400+ total yards
Seattle: 2-11 ATS off a division game
JEDI THOUGHTS: This will be a tought one, but I like NY Giants to carry on their great comeback win against Philadelphia last week. Althought Seattle is tought at home. I think Seattle might struggle a little bit and the second half. And hopefully NY Giants can pull through again.I'll take them again this week.Plus 3.5 looks very tempting.

*Philadelphia @ San Francisco - Jedi Pick: San Francisco +6.5
Philadelphia: 11-3 Under off an Over
San Francisco: 22-10 ATS after allowing 400+ total yards
JEDI THOUGHTS: WOW! San Francisco impressed me last week, great game. This is the only game I like as an upset. Alex Smith is finally found some kind of rhythm, it took him a little more than a year to find it, so I doubt he'll just blow it in this game, plus they're at home. While Philadelphia is still trying to recooperate after that BIG loss last week. (IT DOESN'T GET ANY BETTER THAN THIS.)

Denver @ New England - Jedi Pick: New England - 6.5
Denver: 8-0 Under off a division win
New England: 11-2 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards
JEDI THOUGHTS: I still like them Patriots. Denver didn't show much against Kansas City, and I don't expect them to show much this week either. Patriots still look good, well better than Denver. The spread is little to hight though, but i'll still take e'm.

JEDIMINDTRICKS RECORD
ALL NFL GAMES: 7-8
WEEKLY PICK 6: 3-3
PICK OF THE DAY/WEEK: 2-1