Monday Night NFL Sept. 25

Atlanta Falcons QB Mike Vick who has rushed for 175 yards at better than eight yards/carry in leading his team to a 2-0 start. He is also 5-0 as a starter versus the New Orleans Saints, Atlanta has beaten New Orleans three of the last four but the Saints are 3-1 ATS. Vick ran for two touchdowns and passed for 231 yards and a score in the Falcons' 36-17 victory over the Saints on a Monday night at the Georgia Dome last December 12. He threw for just 112 yards and a touchdown and rushed for 51 yards as the Falcons edged the Saints, 34-31, last October 16 at the Alamodome Atlanta: 11-3 ATS at New Orleans New Orleans: 16-34 ATS at home vs. division opponents

JEDIMINDTRICKS PICK OF THE DAY: Atlanta -3.5 To bad Reggie Bush doesn't play on defense, because New Orleans needs someone quick enough to catch Michael Vick. If not, Vick can just hand it off, and they'll also have a hard time finding Dunn. Oh, so you think New Orleans can stop their running game? Did you forget, that Vick is a quarter back, not a running back? When Vick's on the move, he can still throw it to Alge Crumpler. REMEMBER Falcon's have already played two good defensive teams.

JEDIMINDTRICKS RECORD
ALL NFL GAMES: 14-14
WEEKLY PICK 6: 7-5
PICK OF THE DAY/WEEK: 3-1

NFL WEEK 3 Analysis

NY Jets @ Buffalo - Jedi Pick: Buffalo -5.5
NY Jets: 18-6 ATS off a home division loss
Buffalo: 6-17 ATS off a division win by 10+ points
JEDI THOUGHTS: I personally wouldn't touch this game, my thoughts about both teams have been off on both weeks, but i'd like to take Buffalo because right now they're playing good, and should look more comfortable at home.

*Cincinnatti @ Pittsburgh - Jedi Pick: OVER 41.5
Cincinnati: 9-1 ATS away off a straight up win
Pittsburgh: 8-0 Over as a home favorite
JEDI THOUGHTS: This is a tought one too, but I love how Cincinnatti is playing, and they are my pick for the Super Bowl, so I'm taking Cincinnatti, and plus it's only -2.5 again. But be careful Pittsburgh is bound to bounce back soon. Just play the OVER, it's more safe.

*Jacksonville @ Indianapolis - Jedi Pick: Indianapolis -6.5
Jacksonville: 12-4 Under in dome stadiums
Indianapolis: 14-5 ATS off BB ATS wins as favorites
JEDI THOUGHTS: Jacksonville didn't look that good, they were struggling to score against Pittsburgh, and Pitt wasn't even playing a good defensive game. Even if the Jags can play good defense this week, look for Peyton Manning to kill e'm in the air.

*Tennessee @ Miami - Jedi Pick: Tennessee +10.5
Tennessee: 12-2 Over off BB losses
Miami: 1-7 ATS as a home favorite
JEDI THOUGHTS: What is going on with Miami? first I thought that they were an OK team because they played an OK game against Pittsburgh, then I figured they can't even beat Buffalo, after I called them a FLUKE? I think Miami is the fluke here. Watch Miami as they continue to struggle EVEN AT HOME.

Washington @ Houston - Jedi Pick: Washington -3.5
Washington: 6-0 Under off BB ATS losses
Houston: 1-6 ATS in September
JEDI THOUGHTS: I still can't figure out what's going on with Washington either, but i'm pretty sure they'll find their first win here. But spread is a little skecthy. See Houston Shoulda took Reggie Bush.

*Chicago @ Minnesota - Jedi Pick: Chicago - 3.5
Chicago: 8-1 Under away off a home game
Minnesota: 18-6 ATS as a home underdog
JEDI THOUGHTS: Hah, Minnesota 2-0, Well better be ready for this tought, and I mean TOUGH defensive team, Minnesota won't stand a chance with these Bears. Minnesota wins both games by game winning field goal? Hah, they shouldn't of won against Carolina if it wasn't for that lateral mistake. I'd like to see Minnesota score more than 14points this game. Good Luck Minnesota in trying to come up with a win against these Bears.

Carolina @ Tampa Bay - Jedi Pick: Carolina - 3.5
Carolina: 6-0 ATS away vs. division opponents
Tampa Bay: 13-4 Under off a road game
JEDI THOUGHTS: Both teams still looking for their first win. Still both teams didn't impress me much, Tampa does have a little advantage at home, but i'm going to stick with my Panthers, even though they dissapointed me last week.

Green Bay @ Detroit - Jedi Pick: Green Bay +6.5
Green Bay: 0-6 ATS vs. division opponents
Detroit: 6-1 ATS off a loss by 14+ points
JEDI THOUGHTS: Not much to talk about here either, both teams still can't seem to find what will go right for their team. But i'm taking Favre on this won, he has to go home a winner some how, and i'm thinking this is the best chance for a first win.

*Baltimore @ Cleveland - Jedi Pick: Cleveland +6.5
Baltimore: 10-2 Under away vs. conference opponents
Cleveland: 13-5 Under in home games
JEDI THOUGHTS: Baltimore not so impressive especially when playing those Raiders, well don't get me wrong their defense is not that bad. But remember Cleveland is still also hungry for their first win and they did have a tought game against Cincinnatti last week. Look for Cleveland to beat them in the air. Ray Lewis and Baltimore will stop Cleveland's ground game. But also look for this game to be under, if Cleveland can't move the ball through the air.

St. Louis @ Arizona - Jedi Pick: Arizona -4.5
St. Louis: 2-8 ATS as a road underdog of 7 or less points
Arizona: 7-1 Over off BB ATS losses
JEDI THOUGHTS: Arizona is a good team, but last week they just couldn't do it against Seattle. But be cautious that new stadium looks rockin, and them Cards hopin to rockit more.

NY Giants @ Seattle - NY Giants +3.5
NY Giants: 18-7 ATS after gaining 400+ total yards
Seattle: 2-11 ATS off a division game
JEDI THOUGHTS: This will be a tought one, but I like NY Giants to carry on their great comeback win against Philadelphia last week. Althought Seattle is tought at home. I think Seattle might struggle a little bit and the second half. And hopefully NY Giants can pull through again.I'll take them again this week.Plus 3.5 looks very tempting.

*Philadelphia @ San Francisco - Jedi Pick: San Francisco +6.5
Philadelphia: 11-3 Under off an Over
San Francisco: 22-10 ATS after allowing 400+ total yards
JEDI THOUGHTS: WOW! San Francisco impressed me last week, great game. This is the only game I like as an upset. Alex Smith is finally found some kind of rhythm, it took him a little more than a year to find it, so I doubt he'll just blow it in this game, plus they're at home. While Philadelphia is still trying to recooperate after that BIG loss last week. (IT DOESN'T GET ANY BETTER THAN THIS.)

Denver @ New England - Jedi Pick: New England - 6.5
Denver: 8-0 Under off a division win
New England: 11-2 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards
JEDI THOUGHTS: I still like them Patriots. Denver didn't show much against Kansas City, and I don't expect them to show much this week either. Patriots still look good, well better than Denver. The spread is little to hight though, but i'll still take e'm.

JEDIMINDTRICKS RECORD
ALL NFL GAMES: 7-8
WEEKLY PICK 6: 3-3
PICK OF THE DAY/WEEK: 2-1

NFL WEEK 2 Analysis

Oakland @ Baltimore - Jedi Pick: Oakland +11.5
Oakland: 2-11 ATS vs. conference opponents
Baltimore: 10-2 Under at home vs. conference opponents
JEDI THOUGHTS: Oakland was crushed (Crushed, Crushed, and Crushed) last week. SHUT OUT! need I say more?(I'm a Oakland fan myself) I still think they'll continue to struggle this week till some how QB Aaron Brooks can find his rhythm which. I don't see him finding this week. Then again Baltimore SHUTS OUT! Tampa Bay COINCIDENCE? nope.

Houston @ Indianapolis - Jedi Pick: Indianapolis - 13.5
Houston: 1-5 ATS in September
Indianapolis: 10-2 Under at home off an Under
JEDI THOUGHTS: Indianapolis still a great team, and will dominate this Houston defense through the air with no Giants in the secondary, just a bunch of confused Texans. Indy will be unstoppable this week.

Cleveland @ Cincinnatti - Jedi Pick: Cleveland +10.5
Cleveland: 13-4 Under in road games
Cincinnati: 18-33 ATS in September
JEDI THOUGHTS: Cincinnati came off a great win last week spread is a little etchy at 10.5 That half might be the decision of the game. Over is what i'm looking for in this game, both teams found their air attack very deadly, but Cincinatti will get away with some of the running game to mix it up. Take Cleveland because the spread might be just be alittle to much, but over might be the pick for me.

Buffalo @ Miami - Jedi Pick: Miami - 7.5
Buffalo: 13-4 Over off an ATS win
Miami: 2-10 ATS vs. division opponents
JEDI THOUGHTS: I think that it was a fluke that Buffalo ALMOST came across a win in New England. Well either way they won't be able to play two good games on the road. Miami will get it together this game, feeling more comfortable at home. Take Miami at home. Buffalo is a fluke.

Detriot @ Chicago - Jedi Pick: Chicago - 8.5
Detroit: 16-9 Under vs. conference opponents
Chicago: 6-0 ATS at home off an Under
JEDI THOUGHTS: Nothing more to say but Bears are bad ass.

*Carolina @ Minnesota - Jedi Pick: Carolina - 2.5
Carolina: 7-0 ATS away off a loss as a favorite
Minnesota: 8-1 Under at home off an ATS win
JEDI THOUGHTS: Carolina - 2.5? Are you kidding me? Hah. Carolina will win, they have to find their game fast, before it's too late.

*Giants @ Philadelphia - Jedi Pick: Giants +3.5
NY Giants: 17-7 ATS after gaining 400+ total yards
Philadelphia: 16-6 Under as a favorite
JEDI THOUGHTS: Giants played a good game last week, just that Eli was a little tense, plus big brother is just too much for him. Also remember Philidelphia was only playing Houston Texans! Watch Giants come back with a major win.

*TampaBay @ Atlanta - Jedi Pick: TampaBay +5.5
Tampa Bay: 24-4 Under first two weeks of the season
Atlanta: 0-7 ATS off a win by 14+ points
JEDI THOUGHTS: Gruden won't let his team fall 0-2. TampaBay will come back with a fight.

*New Orleans @ GreenBay - Jedi Pick: New Orleans -1.5
New Orleans: 2-9 ATS vs. conference opponents
Green Bay: 30-14 Over after scoring 14 points or less
JEDI THOUGHTS: Seems like Saints found a little something something, and still don't think GreenBay has anything even at home.

St.Louis @ San Francisco - Jedi Pick: St. Louis -3.5
St. Louis: 11-29 ATS away off an Under
San Francisco: 18-8 ATS vs. St. Louis
JEDI THOUGHTS: St.Louis a very tough team, and enough to contain Alex Smith and the Niners.

Arizona @ Seattle - Jedi Pick: Seattle - 7.5
Arizona: 9-0 Over as a road underdog of 7 points or less
Seattle: 9-25 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points
JEDI THOUGHTS: Seattle had a tough time last week against Detriot, but now they're at home and ready to bounce back.

*New England @ NY Jets - Jedi Pick: New England - 6.5
New England: 6-1 Over off a win by 6 points or less
NY Jets: 6-17 ATS at home in September
JEDI THOUGHTS: Jets win two in a row? Yea, maybe against Texans. Jets will fall apart after they see this New England team.

Tennessee @ San Diego - Jedi Pick: San Diego - 11.5
Tennessee: 5-14 ATS off an Over
San Diego: 14-3 ATS off a win by 21+ points
JEDI THOUGHTS: San Diego's defense looked great, with a bad quarter back taking 7 drop steps. Collins aint that much better of a quarter back than Brooks. They will continue to carry their momentum against Tennessee's offense.

Kansas City @ Denver - Jedi Pick: Denver - 10.5
Kansas City: 19-8 Under first two weeks of the season
Denver: 19-7 ATS first two weeks of the season
JEDI THOUGHTS: These games are almost always to close especially when both teams are playing for their first win, but it is tough to play at Denver with no quarter back. Denver has the edge.

*Washington @ Dallas - Jedi Pick : Washington +5.5
Washington: 14-2 Under off an ATS loss
Dallas: 10-4 ATS at home vs. Washington
JEDI THOUGHTS: Both coming off a loss, and looking for their first win, but I think it comes down to who wants it more, WASHINGTON! will win while Parcells figures out what he's going to do with his team.

RECORD
ALL NFL GAMES: 7-8
WEEKLY PICK 6: 3-3
PICK OF THE DAY/WEEK: 1-1